Avellino vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
AVE
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
TAR
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FIA
1 - 1
AVE
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FRA
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 0
PIC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PIC
1 - 1
USF
25%
26%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
PIC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 0
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |