Avellino vs ACR Messina analysis

Avellino ACR Messina
60 ELO 54
-15.9% Tilt -4.2%
1025º General ELO ranking 3479º
47º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
57.1%
Avellino
25.4%
Draw
17.5%
ACR Messina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
Avellino
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
17.5%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avellino
+19%
-2%
ACR Messina

Points and table prediction

Avellino
Their league position
ACR Messina
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
19º
45
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Avellino
ACR Messina
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Avellino
ACR Messina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
MON
Monopoli
0 - 1
Avellino
AVE
26%
27%
47%
61 53 8 0
29 Jan. 2024
AVE
Avellino
0 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
56%
26%
18%
62 55 7 -1
20 Jan. 2024
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 3
Avellino
AVE
39%
27%
34%
61 58 3 +1
13 Jan. 2024
AVE
Avellino
2 - 2
Juve Stabia
JUS
41%
28%
31%
62 61 1 -1
06 Jan. 2024
LAT
Latina
0 - 5
Avellino
AVE
27%
28%
45%
61 54 7 +1

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
3 - 2
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
49%
27%
24%
53 50 3 0
27 Jan. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
2 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
43%
26%
31%
53 50 3 0
21 Jan. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
30%
29%
41%
52 59 7 +1
14 Jan. 2024
CAS
Casertana
0 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
61%
22%
17%
51 56 5 +1
07 Jan. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 2
Audace Cerignola
AUD
21%
26%
53%
52 61 9 -1