Avellino vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
RPO
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
AVE
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
ANC
28%
22%
50%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAT
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
FCC
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 1
RPO
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 0
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
3 - 1
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |