Avellino vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
AVE
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
21%
26%
54%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |