Avellino vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
4 - 2
USF
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
NAP
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 1
AVE
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
0 - 1
AVE
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 1
SSS
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEN
37%
30%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 0
TER
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
USF
1 - 1
BEN
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |