Avellino vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 2
TRA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GSM
0 - 2
AVE
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MIL
3 - 0
AVE
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 1
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 4
ASD
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
5 - 0
MIL
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
NIS
1 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 2
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FCR
1 - 0
ASD
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |