Avellino vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VER
3 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
TRA
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 0
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 5
CTT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 0
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CTT
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 2
USC
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |