Avellino vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
AVE
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
TRA
31%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
CES
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |