Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
71%
17%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 2
URU
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
URU
3 - 0
UZB
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 3
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 3
KOR
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
TTO
89%
9%
2%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 2
PAR
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |