Uruguay U20 vs Nueva Zelanda U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
URU
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
URU
2 - 0
GTM
78%
14%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
URU
7 - 0
GTM
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 1
URU
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
URU
2 - 2
NGA
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CMR
1 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 4
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
NZL
0 - 1
URU
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
7%
16%
78%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |