Uruguay U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 3
URU
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
URU
3 - 3
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 1
VEN
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
KOR
2 - 1
ECU
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ECU
0 - 0
TUR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
ECU
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |