Uruguay U20 vs Croacia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
URU
1 - 0
SLV
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
URU
0 - 0
IRQ
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
URU
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
URU
1 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Croacia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SVN
1 - 4
CRO
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 0
CRO
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
TUR
3 - 0
CRO
47%
23%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |