Uruguay U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
URU
1 - 1
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 2
URU
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 1
CHI
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
CHI
5 - 0
RUS
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
CHI
4 - 2
QAT
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |