Ursus Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 0
SWI
14%
23%
64%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 3
KSB
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POL
5 - 0
UWA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
WIS
1 - 1
UWA
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Unia Skierniewice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
USK
3 - 2
LWA
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ZBP
2 - 1
USK
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
USK
3 - 2
LTM
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
USK
1 - 3
SAL
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
USK
0 - 2
SWI
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |