Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
LTM
0 - 0
UWA
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 1
POL
12%
21%
67%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
WSI
0 - 4
UWA
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UWA
4 - 1
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 0
UWA
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 2
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PSI
1 - 0
SWI
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 1
PGM
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEL
2 - 1
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |