Ursus Warszawa vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LWA
0 - 2
UWA
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
UWA
1 - 1
WIE
72%
17%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
OKL
0 - 1
UWA
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
KOT
1 - 0
UWA
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -4 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
UWA
2 - 4
KOT
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
SOT
2 - 1
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PSI
4 - 2
SOT
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOT
4 - 1
PGM
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SOT
4 - 1
46%
27%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ZZP
1 - 2
SOT
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |