Ursus Warszawa vs Mazur Karczew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 4
UWA
36%
26%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
UWA
2 - 0
WLI
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 3
UWA
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UWA
0 - 0
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ZZP
0 - 1
UWA
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mazur Karczew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
MKP
2 - 3
BIP
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PGM
3 - 0
MKP
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MKP
0 - 3
OKL
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MKP
0 - 3
BRA
12%
21%
68%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
WLI
4 - 0
MKP
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |