Ursus Warszawa vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
KFC
0 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UWA
2 - 1
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
3 - 0
UWA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UWA
2 - 3
JAG
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
KSB
2 - 2
UWA
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LTM
0 - 3
SWI
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
LTM
26%
23%
52%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LTM
4 - 0
KSB
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POL
2 - 1
LTM
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LTM
1 - 1
USK
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |