Ursus Warszawa vs Concordia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
WLO
2 - 1
UWA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UWA
6 - 0
MLP
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 1
UWA
45%
28%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UWA
0 - 1
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SOK
0 - 1
UWA
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
LOM
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LWA
4 - 3
CON
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
LTM
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
PEL
18%
25%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
WLO
2 - 1
CON
80%
14%
5%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |