Urozhay vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+176%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
5º
51
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urozhay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
URO
3 - 1
BGU
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
URO
1 - 3
LOK
8%
16%
76%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
URO
1 - 1
MET
7%
13%
79%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 2
URO
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
URO
3 - 1
MET
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
8 - 2
AVA
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
8 - 1
BGU
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 3
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ORE
5 - 0
ROT
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |