Urozhay vs FK Orel analysis

Urozhay FK Orel
18 ELO 21
1.4% Tilt 6.3%
50321º General ELO ranking 7808º
604º Country ELO ranking 110º
ELO win probability
37.4%
Urozhay
21.6%
Draw
41.1%
FK Orel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
Urozhay
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41%
Win probability
FK Orel
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Urozhay
+112%
+101%
FK Orel

Points and table prediction

Urozhay
Their league position
FK Orel
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
11º
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metallurg Oskol
54
64
100%
Lokomotiv Liski
49
59
100%
FK Orel
51
57
100%
Atom Novovoronezh
41
50
100%
Urozhay
40
46
100%
Yelets
29
39
100%
Rotor Volgograd II
30
36
100%
Dinamo Bryansk Ii
27
30
100%
Spartak Tambov II
14
16
88%
Metallurg Lipetsk Ii
11º
11
14
10º
88%
FK Kaluga II
13º
10
14
11º
100%
BGUOR
12º
10
13
12º
100%
Avangard Kursk Ii
10º
13
13
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Urozhay
FK Orel
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Urozhay
FK Orel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Urozhay
Urozhay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
URO
Urozhay
3 - 1
BGUOR
BGU
89%
8%
3%
18 7 11 0
05 Aug. 2023
URO
Urozhay
1 - 3
Lokomotiv Liski
LOK
8%
16%
76%
19 51 32 -1
14 Jul. 2023
URO
Urozhay
1 - 1
Metallurg Oskol
MET
7%
13%
79%
17 44 27 +2
08 Jul. 2023
ROT
Rotor Volgograd II
1 - 2
Urozhay
URO
72%
15%
13%
16 20 4 +1
01 Jul. 2023
URO
Urozhay
3 - 1
Metallurg Lipetsk Ii
MET
85%
10%
5%
16 7 9 0

Matches

FK Orel
FK Orel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
ORE
FK Orel
8 - 2
Avangard Kursk Ii
AVA
87%
9%
4%
20 10 10 0
05 Aug. 2023
ORE
FK Orel
8 - 1
BGUOR
BGU
89%
8%
3%
20 7 13 0
15 Jul. 2023
ORE
FK Orel
0 - 3
Lokomotiv Liski
LOK
4%
13%
83%
21 50 29 -1
08 Jul. 2023
MET
Metallurg Oskol
2 - 1
FK Orel
ORE
87%
9%
4%
21 44 23 0
02 Jul. 2023
ORE
FK Orel
5 - 0
Rotor Volgograd II
ROT
44%
24%
32%
20 21 1 +1