Urlings Golden vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urlings Golden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
URL
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAP
3 - 2
URL
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
OTT
3 - 0
URL
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
URL
0 - 3
HOP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FIV
2 - 1
URL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIV
0 - 0
PAR
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 3
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |