Urk vs Eemdijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
15º
14º
48
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DVS
0 - 1
URK
59%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
URK
0 - 6
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 1
URK
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
URK
1 - 3
KAM
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
USV
5 - 1
URK
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Eemdijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EEM
3 - 4
RIJ
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IJS
2 - 2
EEM
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VOL
5 - 0
EEM
35%
21%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HSC
1 - 1
EEM
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EEM
0 - 1
DVS
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |