Ureña vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ATG
61%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
URE
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
URE
2 - 0
ULA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TIT
1 - 1
URE
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 2
URE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 4
ATL
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TIT
1 - 0
ZAM
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 4
FRO
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 0
ZAM
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ULA
3 - 0
ZAM
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |