Ureña vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
URE
0 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ZUL
0 - 2
URE
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
URE
3 - 1
FRO
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ULA
0 - 1
URE
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ULA
1 - 0
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 3
ULA
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ULA
1 - 1
ZUL
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 0
ULA
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ULA
0 - 1
URE
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |