Ureña vs Unión Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
URE
2 - 1
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
URE
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
URE
2 - 1
FAL
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
ZAM
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
YAR
6 - 0
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ULA
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ULA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |