Ureña vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
URE
2 - 0
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CDS
1 - 2
URE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
URE
1 - 2
LOT
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
URE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
URE
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 1
CDS
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
LOT
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
LAR
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAR
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |