Ureña vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
URE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
URE
1 - 2
UAS
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 0
URE
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
URE
1 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 0
URE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LAR
3 - 2
CDS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
0 - 0
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LAR
0 - 2
UAS
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |