Ureña vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 4
URE
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TIT
1 - 2
URE
16%
23%
62%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
URE
0 - 0
ULA
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
URE
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
URE
1 - 0
PDA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
TIT
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
FAL
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
YAR
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 1
LAL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |