Ureña vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
URE
3 - 0
ULA
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
URE
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
CDS
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
URE
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
4 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
CDS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 2
FAL
39%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GVA
2 - 0
FAL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |