Ureña vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
URE
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
URE
2 - 2
CDS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 3
URE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
URE
3 - 2
LOT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 1
URE
39%
26%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
SCG
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
SCG
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDS
2 - 1
SCG
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |