Ureña vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
URE
66%
20%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
URE
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
YAR
3 - 1
URE
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
URE
0 - 2
ULA
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 2
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
YAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ULA
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |