Ureña vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
URE
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 5
URE
31%
26%
42%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
URE
2 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
URE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
URE
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
MIN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 0
POL
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |