Ureña vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
URE
1 - 0
ARR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GVA
1 - 0
URE
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
FAL
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
POL
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
CDS
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |