Ureña vs Barquisimeto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 2
URE
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
URE
1 - 0
ZUL
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
ULA
1 - 1
URE
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
URE
0 - 1
FRO
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
URE
0 - 0
UCV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FLD
1 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TIT
2 - 1
FLD
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
FLD
1 - 0
YAR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FLD
5 - 1
LLA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
FLD
0 - 2
YAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -2 |