Ureña U20 vs Academia Emeritense U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DTA
1 - 1
URE
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 1
URE
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LTA
1 - 1
URE
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
URE
4 - 0
MEC
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Academia Emeritense U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LAM
1 - 1
ACE
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 0
DTA
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SCR
2 - 0
ACE
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ACE
2 - 0
FCR
73%
15%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |