League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Urawa Reds vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 0
URA
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YFM
4 - 0
URA
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
URA
3 - 1
VEG
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URA
1 - 0
SHO
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
URA
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 0
URA
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VEG
0 - 1
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SHI
1 - 1
ALB
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
URA
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |