Ural II vs KDV Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+1352%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
14º
17
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 62 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 45 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 43 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 42 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 35 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 19 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 19 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 18 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
3 - 1
URA
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
URA
1 - 1
FCC
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
URA
1 - 3
TYU
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 0
URA
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
URA
2 - 3
DIN
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
KDV Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RKZ
1 - 0
KDV
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |