Ural II vs Akron Tolyatti II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
12º
8
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 56 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 21 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 19 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
UNT
4 - 1
URA
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
URA
0 - 1
RKZ
34%
22%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
2 - 2
URA
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
URA
1 - 5
KHI
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
KRS
1 - 1
URA
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 0
VNO
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
UNT
2 - 1
FKA
75%
14%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 3
KDV
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
RKZ
5 - 0
FKA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
ORE
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |