Upper Hutt City vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
45.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
10º
8º
13
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 39 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 32 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 31 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 28 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 18 |
6º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 16 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 14 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 13 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upper Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UHC
0 - 6
WEL
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
UHC
4 - 3
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
WSU
5 - 0
UHC
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UHC
0 - 1
WEL
6%
9%
85%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PET
3 - 4
UHC
49%
21%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WKA
0 - 3
WEL
6%
11%
83%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
WKA
1 - 4
PET
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
WKA
2 - 3
MIR
26%
21%
54%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NWA
2 - 2
WKA
7%
13%
81%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |