Upper Hutt City vs Stokes Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upper Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
UHC
1 - 3
WMR
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
KCU
0 - 1
UHC
18%
18%
63%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 0
UHC
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VUN
1 - 3
UHC
49%
21%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
UHC
0 - 2
SEA
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Stokes Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
LHC
5 - 0
STO
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 0
STO
82%
11%
6%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
STO
0 - 13
WEL
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
STO
3 - 2
BNU
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |