Upesciems vs Dobele Allegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
68.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upesciems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UPE
2 - 4
SPE
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
UPE
1 - 3
LIM
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
STA
3 - 0
UPE
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
UPE
5 - 2
DMB
58%
20%
23%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
UPE
2 - 0
FCN
8%
16%
77%
|
10 | 57 | 47 | +2 |
Matches
Dobele Allegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
DAL
3 - 0
BJS
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAB
3 - 0
DAL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 60 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
LDZ
7 - 0
DAL
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
DAL
2 - 2
RTU
5%
10%
86%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | +4 |