Upesciems vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
87%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.8%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upesciems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FKO
4 - 1
UPE
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
UPE
0 - 5
SKB
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FKB
2 - 3
UPE
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
FKJ
0 - 3
FCD
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 1
VEN
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FKD
0 - 1
FCD
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FCD
5 - 0
ILU
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FCD
18%
23%
60%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |