Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-4
UP Langreo vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
UPL
0 - 1
CDC
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LLE
2 - 0
UPL
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1966 |
DEP
4 - 0
UPL
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
UPL
0 - 0
BAD
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
CEL
1 - 0
UPL
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
CCF
1 - 0
VCF
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |