Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-4
UP Langreo vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UPL
3 - 0
ROC
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 3
UPL
9%
18%
74%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
UPL
5 - 1
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
UPL
2 - 0
SIL
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UPL
4 - 1
LLA
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
5 - 0
BEZ
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
SEL
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAY
5 - 1
ESC
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ESC
6 - 0
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
ESC
29%
24%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |