UP Langreo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CUL
3 - 1
UPL
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UPL
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COV
0 - 1
UPL
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
UPL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
UPL
1 - 2
BUR
43%
28%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 1
BUR
65%
22%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
NUM
4 - 1
ROB
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
NUM
11%
24%
64%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 2
CUL
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUM
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |