Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
UP Langreo vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
UPL
5 - 2
PRA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 4
UPL
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UPL
3 - 0
LEN
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
UPL
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
UPL
5 - 1
URR
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
HUE
1 - 1
ALM
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 0
LOJ
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 1
ALM
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 2
ANT
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 1
ALM
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |