Unterhaching vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
UNT
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
UNT
3 - 1
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
UNT
2 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
MEM
1 - 3
UNT
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
UNT
5 - 1
VRG
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
M05
5 - 0
ERF
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
M05
0 - 3
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
M05
4 - 0
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
M05
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
M05
2 - 1
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |