Unterhaching vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
4º
3º
0
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 70 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 67 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
|
3º
|
3 | 64 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 53 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 47 |
10º
|
4% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 46 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 22 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 3
UNT
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 3
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 3
UNT
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
SSV
1 - 2
UNT
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DEI
0 - 4
UNT
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ANS
1 - 2
BAY
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ANS
1 - 1
VFR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
ANS
1 - 7
SGS
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SGF
6 - 2
ANS
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ANS
1 - 3
ING
46%
22%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |