Unterhaching II vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
16º
58
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterhaching II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
186
2 - 0
UNT
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
ISM
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
UNT
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 3
TSV
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
UNT
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
SON
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
ERL
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEI
0 - 1
ERL
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 1
ERL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KOT
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |