UWI vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 0
UWI
35%
28%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
UWI
0 - 0
MPA
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 0
UWI
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOL
3 - 2
UWI
44%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UWI
4 - 0
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
WAT
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 2
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 0
WAT
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
WAT
7 - 0
HAR
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |